India 2025. While Sales Contract Briefly, Mahindra Keeps Rising Steadily

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Indian Car Market in 2025 posts temporary contraction. YTD sales up to August fell 0.9%, with Maruti losing 3.6% but still holding a 40.1% share. Mahindra surged 15.6% into 2nd and, despite the big gap with Maruti, it secured leadership of EV seegment. 

Economic Environment

In 2025, India’s GDP is expected to grow between 6.5% and 6.8%, with stronger domestic demand in the second half of the fiscal year, driven by increased government spending. While the first half saw slower growth due to lower government capital expenditure and global uncertainties, India’s capital markets remained resilient, largely due to rising domestic institutional investor (DII) participation. Rural consumption remains strong, supported by robust agricultural growth, while the services sector, particularly finance and real estate, continues to drive expansion.

Manufacturing exports of high-value goods like electronics and pharmaceuticals are growing, though overall exports remain vulnerable to global trade disruptions. Inflation, while a concern, is expected to stabilize with government interventions and strong agricultural output. Foreign investor outflows caused market volatility, but the increasing influence of domestic investors has cushioned the impact. Looking ahead, the government is likely to prioritize capital investment, infrastructure development, and financial market participation in its upcoming budget. Labor market improvements and skill development initiatives will be crucial for sustaining long-term growth and attracting global investment.

Automotive Industry Trend and Outlook

The Indian car market fell 0.9% looking at YTD figures up to August 2025. Totalling 2,83 million units sold, buyers delayed purchases in the expectation of lower prices after a potential reduction in GST rates on vehicles.

Brand-wise, Maruti was still on top with a 40.1% share (-3.6%), followed by Mahindra -up 2 spots- in 2nd with a 13.7% share (+15.6%), Hyundai -down 1 spot- in 3rd with a 13.1% share (-9%), Tata -down 1 spot- in 4th (-9.3%) and Toyota in 5th (+8.4%).

Kia ranked in 6th (+8.3%), followed by Skoda -up 4 spots- in 7th (+116.7%), MG in 8th (-17.7%), Honda -down 2 spots- in 9th (-15.9%) and Volkswagen in 10th (-5.2%).

Looking at the top selling models, reported in the dedicate article,  the Maruti Dzire surged 6 spots and became the best-seller, up 15%. The Hyundai Creta followed in 2nd with a 6.3% increase in volume.

EV Market Trend and Outlook

India’s EV market is rapidly evolving, with sales surging 121.8% up to August 2025. Zero-emission vehicles are set to drive over half of the auto market’s growth, as local brands focus on delivering better, more affordable models.

Looking at EV rankings by brand, Mahindra rose to the top, growing 627.3% and overtaking MG in 2nd, which lost 27.6%. 

Medium-Term Market Trend

Starting in 2014, India’s automotive industry experienced steady growth, fueled by rising incomes, urbanization, and accessible financing. By 2018, the market had expanded 23.3% from 2014 levels, reaching 3.38 million units.

However, a downturn began in 2019, continuing through the COVID-19 pandemic, with sales declining from nearly 3 million to 2.5 million by the end of 2020. This decline wasn’t due to structural economic issues, as sales rebounded swiftly post-pandemic. In 2021, sales surged 26.9% past 3 million, followed by a 22.9% increase in 2022 to a record 3.86 million units. The market crossed 4 million in 2023, growing 7.3%, and in 2024, sales accelerated 4.7% to 4.35 million units.

This trend reflects Asia’s strong post-pandemic recovery, in contrast to Europe, as the region adapts well to shifting market sentiment, EV adoption, and supply chain disruptions, particularly in microchip production.

India’s EV sector mirrored this growth, benefiting from a favorable economic outlook, government support, and local brand investments. EV sales nearly tripled in 2023, then accelerated 22.7% in 2024, with Mahindra leading the charge.

Tables with sales figures

In the tables below we report sales for top 10 Brands, top 10 Manufacturer Groups and top 10 Models.

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