France 2024. Car Market On A Losing String, Down 11.7% In September

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French Auto Market in September 2024 fell for the fifth month in a row, registering 136,847  new sales (-11.7%). YTD figures at 1,24 million were down 2.3% compared to the prior year. Toyota and BMW still outperforming other Top 10 Brands in year-on-year growth.

Market Trend and Outlook

In 2024, France activity is projected to remain subdued over the first half of the year, with growth in the first quarter reaching only 0.2%. However, the moderation of inflation and the easing of financial conditions expected in the second half of the year are projected to allow for a progressive recovery.

Private consumption is expected to be the main driver for growth, as real wages bounce back while investment from both households and corporations is set to slow down. Net exports are set to have a slightly positive contribution to growth as exports gather momentum, notably in transport equipment.

The deficit-reducing measures announced by the government for which sufficient detail has been disclosed have been taken into account in this forecast and are also set to weigh on economic growth. Overall, real GDP is forecast to grow by 0.7% in 2024.

The near flat economic trend is mirrored by the automotive industry which in September fell for the fourth month in a row, registering 136,847 new sales (-11.7%). YTD figures at 1,25 million were down 2.3% compared to the previous year.

Looking at cumulative data up to September 2024, brand-wise Renault sold 184,666 cars (-1.1%) followed by Peugeot with 175,018 (-4.8%) and Dacia with 106,390 (-9.2%).

In fourth place Toyota -up 2 spots- with 90,224 sales (+22%) ahead of Citroen -down 1 spot- with 83,376  (-12.9%), Volkswagen -down 1 spot- with 83,258 (-2.6%) and BMW -up 1 spot- with 47,319 (+18.4%).

In eighth place ranked Audi -up 3 spots- with 36,675 sales (+2.8%) followed by Mercedes -up 4 spots- with 33,966 (+5.3%) and in 10th place by Opel -up 4 spots- with 33,772 (+3.5%).

Looking at the best selling model, widely reported in the dedicated post, the leader was still the Renault Clio (-7.1%) ahead of the Dacia Sandero (+10.3%) and Peugeout 208 (-6.4%).

Medium-Term Market Trend

In the last decade the French market has had many ups and down. From 2010 to 2013 the French vehicle-market fell year after year starting from 2.3 million sales in 2010 and reaching the lowest point in 2013 with 1.8 million sales. Following this period the French market began a 6 year growth bringing sales nearly back to previous levels in 2019 (2.2 millions sales).

With the arrival of the pandemic in 2020, causing dealers and manufacturing plants to close down, the French auto-market took a substantial hit, losing 23.7%. This brought sales to an all time low, with  almost 1.7 million registrations.

Post-Covid, sales stayed at 1.7 million in 2021 and in 2022 fell 7.8% to 1.53 million. Lower demand was consequential to the current European sentiment that is pushing more towards EVs, a substantially more expensive alternative for French consumers.

Despite factors that were projected to put negative pressure on demand in 2023, the French Auto Market figures reached 1.77 million sales, up 15.9% from the previous year.

Tables with sales figures

In the tables below we report sales for all Brands, top 10 Manufacturers Group and top 10 Models.

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