Chinese Auto Market in 2025 is bouncing back. Sales up to April grew 4.3%, recovering from a slowdown at the beginning of the year. Geely posted an impressive surge, up 55.6% while climbing 4 spots in EV rankings, though BYD retains largest share of the market.
Economic Environment
In 2025, China’s economic growth is expected to hover around 4%, with domestic demand revitalization as a top priority amid concerns over “Japanification” and rising U.S. tariffs. The government plans moderately loose monetary policy and fiscal expansion, yet skepticism remains about whether these measures can counter weak demand. The auto market is shrinking, while EVs and NEVs continue to grow, driven by BYD and Geely. In finance, credit growth is slowing, and regulators are enforcing stricter oversight on financial holding companies, while banks focus on stabilizing margins.
Mergers in the securities sector aim to create internationally competitive investment banks, and insurance asset management is expanding, attracting foreign investment. In energy, the clean tech sector remains resilient, but wind and solar curtailment and global trade barriers pose challenges. Chinese solar firms are pivoting toward emerging markets like the Middle East and Latin America to counter stricter EU and U.S. regulations. The RMB is expected to depreciate by 5–7%, but China will likely avoid aggressive intervention. The country is also eliminating tariffs for least-developed nations to expand trade partnerships and counter growing protectionism.
Automotive Industry Trend and Outlook
China’s auto market grew 4.3% up to April 2025 to reach 6,841 million units, including both wholesales and imports. Although the first months of the year reported losses, the market seems to be back on track, hinting at a potential future expansion.
Looking at data up to April 2025 brand-wise, BYD ranked 1st (+13.3%) while Volkswagen followed in 2nd (-3.2%).
Geely gained 1 spot to 3rd place (+55.6%) followed by Toyota -down 1 spot- in 4th (+2%), Changan -up 1 spot- in 5th (-15.7%) and Honda -down 1 spot- in 6th (-23.7%).
Wuling -up 3 spots- ranked 7th (+5.5%), followed by Chery -up 4 spots- in 8th (+18.3%), BMW -down 2 spots- in 9th (-12.4%) and Mercedes -down 2 spots- in 10th (-6.5%).
To see the best-selling ranking in China, you can refer to the dedicated article. The new leader was the BYD SONG -up 1 spot- with a 4.1% growth, followed by the BYD Qin Plus which dropped 22.8% and lost its leadership.
EV Market Trend and Outlook
China’s EV market continues to expand in 2025. Several brands were able to achieve global rankings through domestic sales alone thanks to strong internal demand for EVs. Sales up to April grew by 24.8%, reaching a 39.9% share of total vehicle sales.
BYD held the top spot with a market share of about 32.7%, growing 12.7%. Geely surged up 4 spots to claim 2nd place as the Xingyuan rose several spots into models rankings. Wuling secured 3rd spot, up 26.7% while Tesla fell 2 spots, growing 2.2% but being outpaced by domestic carmakers.
Medium-Term Market Trend
China’s car market, the world’s largest, accounts for nearly 30% of global sales and over 75% of global electric vehicle sales. The market’s booming phase culminated in 2017, reaching an all-time high of 25.54 million units, a nearly 30% increase over the 2014-2017 period, driven by rapid economic growth, urbanization, and increased consumer purchasing power.
In the subsequent three years, the market declined, dropping almost 17% by 2020, stabilizing around 21 million units due to economic headwinds, trade tensions, and market saturation.
Starting from 2021, the market began its recovery, aided by government incentives and a focus on new energy vehicles. Over the following four years, the market grew 6%, reaching 23.288 million units in 2024.
During the 2014-2024 decade, China’s EV market experienced significant growth. Sales reported steady increases, accelerating in 2021 (+149%) and 2022 (+81.6%), continuing the momentum to reach 9.404 million units in 2024, with a 40% market share. This growth can be attributed to strong government support, technological advancements, and increased consumer acceptance.
Tables with sales figures
In the tables below we report sales for all Brands, top 10 Manufacturers Group and top 10 Models.
